Real Madrid v Manchester City Champions League Betting Tips 19/02/2025

Real Madrid and Manchester City played out an end-to-end five-goal thriller in their Champions League play-off first-leg. Los Blancos return home on Wednesday with a 3-2 lead to protect against the Citizens, so it’s time for our Real Madrid v Manchester City Champions League Betting Tips. Pep Guardiola’s side will need to be at their best and find some better away form to bounce back and secure a spot in the last 16. This match kicks off at 8 p.m. It will be shown live on TNT Sports.

Form and Team News

Real Madrid’s 3-2 win at the Etihad Stadium last Tuesday extended their Champions League winning run to four consecutive matches. Los Blancos made a patchy start to the competition, losing three of their opening five before notching their impressive winning streak. Carlo Ancelotti’s outfit couldn’t build on their win over City and drew a second consecutive La Liga game over the weekend. Los Blancos were held to a 1-1 draw at Osasuna. Man City have plenty of work to do to overcome their 3-2 aggregate deficit on Wednesday. City’s Champions League form has been poor too, as they have lost three of their previous four and are on a three-match losing streak on the road. Guardiola’s side did respond positively to their loss against Real Madrid last week. They hit back with a dominant 4-0 home win over Newcastle in the Premier League on Saturday. 

Dani Carvajal, Éder Militão and Lucas Vázquez are ruled out for Real Madrid. Man City also have a few injury concerns, with Rodri and Manuel Akanji sidelined with injuries. 

Match Winner Bet

The first-leg between Real Madrid and Manchester City was an even affair, and it took a 92nd-minute Jude Bellingham tap-in to separate the sides. Draws have been common in recent meetings between these teams. Three of the last five have ended in a stalemate, while the last two at the Santiago Bernabéu have been drawn. A draw on Wednesday has the longest odds at 10/3, provided by Bet365, which isn’t a bad option. It’s hard to see City overcoming their first-leg defeat in Madrid, especially due to their disappointing Champions League form. The Citizens are winless at the Bernabéu in their last three outings here. As a result, Guardiola’s side are outsiders at 5/2, offered by Ladbrokes. We are backing Los Blancos to get the job done against City and progress to the Champions League knockout rounds. Ancelotti’s side are incredibly strong at home, winning seven of their last eight and losing just once on home turf this season. They are also building momentum in the Champions League with four wins on the spin, and we can see Los Blancos adding to that streak here. BetGoodwin’s 19/20 represents decent value for a Real Madrid home win against City. 

Over/Under Goals Betting

There was no holding back from either side in the first-leg, but we anticipate a more settled encounter in Madrid. Los Blancos will want to protect their lead and can control the tempo against a struggling City. In addition, Real Madrid have seen plenty of low scorers recently, as five of their last eight have ended with under 3.5 goals. While City have been high-scoring recently, they are unlikely to threaten as much against an elite Real Madrid side. We expect this to be a more cagey affair, and under 3.5 goals has excellent value. At 53/50, QuinnBet have the best potential returns for under 3.5 goals between Real Madrid and City. 

Anytime Goalscorer Bets

We successfully backed two of the anytime goalscorers from the first-leg, and there’s no reason to step off these players to strike again at the Bernabéu. Erling Haaland is the obvious choice for City, as the Norwegian has scored six goals in his last seven, including two in the Champions League. The Citizens will need to push for goals in Madrid, and Haaland is likely to be the main goal scoring threat. Unibet have the best odds for a Haaland anytime striker at 27/20. However, the man who got the Los Blancos revival going at the Etihad, Kylian Mbappe, is our standout goalscorer pick here. Mbappe has hit top form in 2025, scoring 11 goals in his last 10 in all competitions. The Frenchman has found the net in three consecutive matches, too, including in his last home appearance against Atletico Madrid. It’s hard to stop Mbappe when he’s in goal scoring form like this, and we are tipping him to score again on Wednesday. At 10/11 with Paddy Power, there is good value on sticking with Mbappe to find the net.

Our Real Madrid v Manchester City Champions League Betting Tips

Match winner bet — Real Madrid — 19/20 with BetGoodwin

Over/Under goals — Under 3.5 goals — 53/50 with QuinnBet

Anytime goalscorer — Erling Haaland — 27/20 with Unibet

Anytime goalscorer — Kylian Mbappe — 10/11 with Paddy Power

All 4 bets acca combo bet — 16/1 with BetMGM

This Real Madrid vs Manchester City tie is set to be a cracker. Will Los Blancos see out their aggregate advantage? Or can the Citizens muster a response in the Spanish capital? Good luck if you place any bets on this Champions League fixture, and please use our tips as a guide and not as definite winners. We hope you have found our Real Madrid v Manchester City Champions League Betting Tips useful, but, they may not win. How we select our betting tips is by finding bets that we like, and that come with genuine bet value. With this approach, we are confident in bringing you long term betting profits, and we aid that by finding the best odds as well at the time of writing our previews.

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Last Updated on February 18, 2025