France v Italy Nations League Betting Tips 06/09/24

France vs Italy is one of the standout fixtures from the first round of 2024/25 Nations League fixtures, so here’s our France v Italy Nations League Betting Tips. Les Blues will hope to improve after winning just two of their six Euro 2024 matches. Despite making the semi-final, Didier Deschamps’ side rarely looked comfortable in Germany. Italy also have plenty to prove. They were eliminated at the round of 16 stage at Euro 2024 and won just once. Both sides will be desperate for improvements at the Parc des Princes, and a cracking game could be in store. This fixture kicks off at 7:45 p.m. It will be shown live on Viaplay.

Form and Team News

France returns to international action after an underwhelming performance at Euro 2024. In six matches, France won twice and scored only four goals. Les Blues edged past Poland with a win on penalties following a 0-0 draw in the quarter-final. They were then defeated by eventual champions Spain in the semi-final match (2-1). Italy were in good form ahead of Euro 2024 and entered the competition unbeaten in six, with four wins. Things looked good for the Azzurri after an opening group stage win over Albania (2-1). However, Luciano Spalletti’s team failed to win another game following a 1-0 loss to Spain and a 1-1 draw with Croatia. Italy were eventually eliminated in the round of 16 following a poor performance during their 2-0 loss against Switzerland.

In terms of team news, France defender Ferland Mendy has withdrawn from the squad due to injury. Bayern Munich winger Michael Olise has also been called up and could make his international debut. Italy are without Gianluca Scamacca, Nicolo Barella, Jorginho and Gianluca Mancini.

Match Winner Bet

France and Italy will seemingly want to start afresh after their Euros disappointments. However, the odds don’t currently favour the visiting Azzurri, who have failed to win in four of their last six away. In this streak, Italy was held by lower-ranked UEFA sides North Macedonia (1-1) and Ukraine (0-0). Midnite’s odds of 11/2 suggest that Spaletti’s outfit face another tough away test in Paris on Friday. A draw comes with better odds at 31/10, provided by Bet365. This could be a better option given the inconsistencies of these two nations. France have drawn four of their last seven and Italy are winless in three, so a stalemate could be a good pick. Looking at the two squads, we feel a France win is the best value pick for this Nations League opener. Les Blues are stacked with world-class quality in all areas and have an impressive recent home record. Deschamps side have won 12 of their last 14 on home soil. This is enough to give the French a boost against underperforming Italy, and VBet’s 10/17 odds represent decent potential returns.

Over/Under Goals Betting

Following below-par performances in recent matches, France and Italy may want to keep things tight here. In addition, recent results for both nations suggest that a low-scoring clash could unfold. For instance, France has seen under 2.5 goals in six of their last seven games and under 1.5 has landed in five matches. Italy have also been somewhat goal-shy lately. They have seen under 2.5 goals in three consecutive fixtures, and failed to score in three of their previous six. We can see this encounter ending in a narrow France win, with few chances at both ends. Due to this, we are backing under 2.5 goals, which comes with 9/10 odds from Betfair.

Anytime Goalscorer Bets

Italy’s recent lack of goalscoring threat leads to few clear picks in the anytime betting markets. However, one outside choice that has good value is Moise Kean. The attacker has a good return at the international level, striking four goals in 12 appearances. Also, the Fiorentina man has started 2024/25 well, with three goals in just five matches in all competitions. With bet365 offering 5/1 odds, a Kean goal could be a good longshot in the France vs Italy game. Kylian Mbappe is our main any-time goalscorer selection in this Nations League clash. He has already scored two goals in four games for Real Madrid this season, and the French talisman has an exceptional scoring record at international level. He has eight goals in his last 12 games for France, which have taken his overall goal tally to 48. Mbappe is a player who can score goals at any level, and he will want to make his mark at home on Friday. A Mbappe anytime goal against Italy comes with decent odds too, with BetUK providing 59/50.

Our France v Italy Nations League Betting Tips

Match winner bet — France — 7/10 with VBet

Over/Under goals bet — Under 2.5 goals — 9/10 with Betfair

Anytime goalscorer — Moise Kean — 5/1 with Bet365

Anytime goalscorer — Kylian Mbappe — 59/50 with BetUK

All 4 bets acca combo bet – 35/1 with Bet365

France vs Italy is a heavyweight international football clash, no matter the competition or occasion. The two footballing giants will be giving everything to make a winning start in the 2024/24 Nations League. Can Les Blues bounce back? Or will the Azzurri leave Paris with maximum points? Enjoy this international encounter if you are betting or tuning in on Friday.

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Last Updated on September 6, 2024