Djokovic v Alcaraz US Open Tennis Semi Final Betting Tips 05/09/2025
Novak Djokovic and Carlos Alcaraz will meet in a huge 2025 US Open semi-final on Friday, so here’s our Djokovic v Alcaraz US Open Tennis Semi Final Betting Tips. 24-time Grand Slam champion Djokovic continues to defy the odds at the age of 38 after progressing to the final four at Flushing Meadows. Alcaraz, however, looks in incredible shape following an aggressive run to the semi-finals in New York. Can Djokovic provide an upset, or will Alcaraz carry his momentum into this clash? Djokovic vs Alcaraz is scheduled to start at 8 p.m. It will be shown live on Sky Sports.
Form
Carlos Alcaraz has hit top form at the US Open and cruised into the final four without dropping a set. The world number two thrashed Reilly Opelka, Mattia Bellucci and Luciano Darderi in his opening three matches. More one-sided wins came against Arthur Rinderknech in the last 16 before Alacraz comfortably beat world number 21 Jiri Lehecka 6-4,6-2, 6-4 in the quarter-finals. Djokovic’s run to the semi-final has been less convincing. The four-time US Open champion beat Learner Tien in straight sets in the opening match before requiring four sets to get past Zachary Svajda and Cam Norrie. Djokovic cruised to a straight-sets win over Jan Lennard Struff in the last 16 before edging Taylor Fritz across four sets in the quarter-final.
Match Winner Bet
Djokovic cannot be completely written off against Alcaraz at the US Open. Although the 38-year-old is the clear underdog, he does have decent form at the Grand Slams. The Serbian has won 10 of his last 11 matches at the majors, and also boasts a 5-3 career advantage in head-to-heads with Alcaraz. The 24-time Grand Slam winner has also defeated the Spanish player in the last two meetings. Ultimately, the bookies are not favouring a Djokovic victory on Friday, as AK Bets are offering 3/1 odds. Alcaraz looks like the man to beat at the 2025 US Open after an impressive run to the semi-finals. The world number two is also in sensational long-term form, winning 11 consecutive matches and losing just once in his previous 36. There’s no reason to move away from an Alcaraz victory over Djokovic, and BetGoodwin are offering 2/7 odds for the Spanish star to progress to the final.
Over/Under Sets Betting
This game could be one-sided for Alcaraz. The five-time Grand Slam winner looks fresh after cruising through his opening five matches, while Djokovic is likely to be fatigued following three matches going into a fourth set at the US Open, giving Alcaraz a chance to finish the contest in under 3.5 sets. Alcaraz has also dropped just two sets in all competitions since losing the Wimbledon final to Jannik Sinner in July. In addition, under 3.5 sets have landed in all five of the Spaniard’s US Open matches this year. At 27/20 odds with BresBet, sticking with under 3.5 sets looks like a solid pick for this US Open semi-final.
Correct Score Bet
There’s also additional value to be found in backing a correct score bet in favour of Alcaraz. The 22-year-old has winning momentum, and Djokovic has struggled to take on the higher-ranking players recently. The Serbian has lost three times to Jannik Sinner in the past 12 months, with each defeat coming in straight sets. With Alcaraz hitting his best form at Flushing Meadows, it’s worth going for a 3-0 correct score bet on Friday. LivescoreBet has the best potential returns here at 17/10.
Our Djokovic v Alcaraz US Open Tennis Semi Final Betting Tips —
Match winner bet — Carlos Alcaraz — 2/7 with BetGoodwin
Over/under sets — Under 3.5 sets — 27/20 with BresBet
Correct score — Alcaraz 3-0 — 17/10 with LivescoreBet
All 3 bets treble bet — 7/1 with Virgin Bet
Alcaraz and Djokovic have produced some epic contests in the past, and another highly anticipated Grand Slam bout between the pair awaits at the 2025 US Open. However, form suggests that Alcaraz may just have too much for Djokovic in this encounter. Please remember, if you use any of our Djokovic v Alcaraz US Open Tennis Semi Final Betting Tips this weekend, our tips are formed via analysis of recent form and history. They intend to highlight good value in the betting markets. Please do not view them as definite winners.
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