Daniil Medvedev vs Cam Norrie Italian Open Betting Tips 09/05/2025
After an encouraging start to the Italian Open for Cameron Norrie, all eyes now turn to his second-round clash with former world number one Daniil Medvedev. So with that, here’s our free Daniil Medvedev vs Cam Norrie Italian Open Betting Tips. Norrie entered the Rome Masters as a lucky loser and seized his opportunity with three strong performances so far. Medvedev, meanwhile, begins his Italian Open campaign here after struggling for form at Monte-Carlo and Madrid. This intriguing match is expected to start on Friday morning, but this time is subject to change. You can watch the match live on Sky Sports.
Form
Norrie heads into this second-round encounter with momentum behind him, having now won six of his last 10 matches across all tournaments. The Brit has shown solid consistency on clay, with five of his last 10 matches ending in a second-set victory. Norrie navigated two qualifiers, dropping just one set at the Italian Open before looking sharp in a 6-3, 6-2 first-round win over O’Connell. Medvedev has had a mixed run of form, winning just four of his last 10 matches. The Russian has also suffered early eliminations in recent clay court competitions. A round of 16 exit against Alex de Minaur in Monte Carlo (6-2, 6-2) came before a quarter-final loss to Casper Ruud (6-3, 7-5) in Madrid.
Match Winner Bet
With Medvedev struggling for rhythm and form heading into the Italian Open, the bookmakers see this clash with Norrie as a genuine test. Norrie comes into this match having already adapted to the court and looked confident in his opening win. However, the 91st-ranked ATP player has struggled to form deep runs in the big recent tournaments. He was knocked out in the qualifying stages in Monte-Carlo before a first-round exit at Barcelona and third-round elimination at the Madrid Open. As a result, Norrie remains the underdog to beat Medvedev, and Bet365 has 5/2 odds for the Brit to win. While clay is far from Medvedev’s strongest surface, the Russian still has pedigree at the top tournaments, highlighted by his seeding of 11th in Rome. The world number 11 has edged past lower-ranked opponents in the earlier rounds of recent clay-court competitions, and won this competition as recently as 2023. Medvedev is the clear-cut favourite to beat Norrie at the Italian Open, and Betfred have 1/3 odds for the Russian to triumph over Norrie.
Under/Over Sets Betting
While Medvedev remains inconsistent, he has shown flashes of quality even during defeats. He’s claimed either the first or second set in six of his last ten matches, showing he can start or respond strongly. This makes a three-set match a real possibility on Thursday. Norrie has also been competitive, winning the second set in five of his last 10 matches. With both players capable of digging in, backing the match to go to three sets is appealing. Betway is offering 8/5 on the match to be settled in over 2.5 sets, which looks like strong value given their recent form patterns.
Correct Score (Sets)
Sticking with a potential Medvedev win and a potential match going the distance, we are also tipping the Russian to secure a 2-1 match win against Norrie. Three of the Russian’s last four victories have been by a 2-1 scoreline, while all three of Norrie’s previous losses have been by the same score. A 2-1 win for Medvedev is a solid selection for this Italian Open second-round clash, and Betway have the best value at 11/4.
With Medvedev still regaining form and Norrie already up and running in Rome, this Italian Open second-round clash is finely poised. Will Medvedev’s experience and class come through, or can Norrie keep his Rome run alive with another gritty win on clay? All signs point to a compelling encounter at the Foro Italico. We wish you good luck with any bets you place on the Italian Open this weekend, and always gamble responsibly. Remember to use our tips as a guide and do not see them as guaranteed winners. We use the latest news and stats to form our tips, but we cannot ensure they will win every time. Gamble responsibly and if you need more information on UK free bets and bookmakers, head to our homepage.